Expert: 2010 situation is still grim face trade frictions – trade friction, expo
School of Economics, Renmin University of China professor Wang Jinbin analysis pointed out that by 2010 China will still face a very grim situation of trade friction, especially from EU countries should be vigilant against protectionist measures .
Year of the Tiger in the Chinese New Year holidays just past, the United States, European Union, Argentina, China and other countries have oil drilling pipe, coated paper, melamine products such as anti-dumping investigations initiated, trade protection measures can be described as intense again, "gotta play." Experts said that by 2010 China will still face tough trading environment, in addition to the United States, the European Union and developing countries from trade protection measures should be vigilant. In the global economic recovery is not strong background, are also affected by trade protectionism, global containment, recovery is still strong for China's foreign trade is undoubtedly a huge challenge.
Into in February has been made in China from the United States Gift Box with ribbon to impose high anti-dumping duties, our country suffered frequently from different countries on trade remedy measures. Local time on February 19th, the U.S. International Trade Commission issued the preliminary ruling announcement, said the drill pipe oil from China in the United States constitute dumping. February 18, the European Commission on the origin or coated paper imports from China initiated anti-dumping investigations, the day after the European Commission has just issued the decision on the production of melamine from China initiated anti-dumping investigations notice.
Addition to the developed countries, developing countries are also connected to embarrass, China's foreign trade is suffering from the global containment. Argentina has issued a statement saying the Chinese suit, suits and other products for anti-dumping investigation on the origin of China's high-speed steel straight blade manually start the anti-dumping investigation; the Mexican Ministry of Economic Affairs decided to continue to levy a charge of 21 of China's high-carbon ferromanganese % five-year anti-dumping duties; Colombia juice machine in China to fight anti-dumping cases to make the preliminary ruling, decided to play originated in China, juice machines impose provisional anti-dumping duties.
"The current global economic recovery is still uncertain, is the containment of China's foreign trade experienced the source of the world." Renmin University of China professor Wang Jinbin economy in an interview that although China's exports have been growing for months now, the dollar caused by the devaluation of the RMB exchange rate to stimulate the lower and strong policy background of the crisis boost exports to China have played a certain role, in 2010 China's foreign trade still see strong momentum of recovery from many countries, involving multiple industries trade protectionism is a very large uncertainties. Uncertain global economic recovery in the context of trade protectionism are also affected by the global containment, no doubt for the recovery of China's foreign trade is still strong, is a huge challenge.
Wang Jinbin further analysis pointed out that by 2010 China will still face a very grim situation of trade friction, especially from the European Union trade protection measures should be vigilant. The reason is: Compared with the United States, the European Union's capacity to withstand external deficits even worse, employment, greater pressure, serious economic imbalances, monetary policy is very limited. On the other hand the past two years China's rapid economic rise, exports surpassed Germany to become the world's first, which all the EU countries feel of pressure. So in 2010 the EU will continue to revalue its currency and implement anti-dumping, countervailing measures to reduce the trade deficit.
Relative the United States, European Union, eager to survey the products of the developed economies, the economic crisis for developing countries to use trade remedy investigations have become more frequent. India, Brazil, Argentina, Russia and other economies, China's trade barriers have become more sophisticated, involving more and more products, increasing the amount of money involved. According to WTO statistics, the Argentine anti-dumping investigations initiated 1 / 4 for Chinese products. India to China in recent years, the number of anti-dumping investigation over Europe and the United States, accounting for all WTO members the same period in anti-dumping investigation on China the total number of 1 / 5.
This connection, China Foreign Economic and Trade University WTO Studies, Associate Tu Xinquan analysis in an interview that the gradual recovery in the global economy in the process of China's trade structure with high similarity to the developing countries must make a kinds of measures of external demand for a limited market, trade friction is inevitable. China Steel , Chemical industry , Light industry products, cyclical industries and low value-added industries will be severely affected.
"Trade frictions will continue this year, trade remedy cases, large amounts of high-impact features will exist." Academy of Social Sciences Institute of World Economics and Politics Song Hong International Trade Research Office, also said that trade remedies being investigate the impact of China's enterprises are faced with severe trade friction on the restoration of China's foreign trade has brought great uncertainty. But he is relatively optimistic that, given the global economic situation in the recovery trend, this year the overall trade frictions should not continue to deteriorate, basically the same number should be same as last year.
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