Revolutionary changes in world energy markets and China's energy strategy – Energy, the market – heat pump industry
World Energy Industry and market structure is undergoing a new round of Oil Alternation of power, Energy The market has and will continue to revolutionize. As the world's second largest energy consumer, China urgently needs to consider what should have a national energy strategy to achieve energy security. "Rich coal, oil-poor, less gas," the energy mix in China must face reality and clean use of coal is the inevitable choice of China's energy development.
Inadvertently, crossed the new century, mankind has been ten years. This decade, the world economy has undergone enormous changes. Particularly in the unprecedented global Financial Crisis, the central state has been hit, external power status than ever before. Pattern of world energy industry and the market place this context a new round of oil of political power. A few years ago an article in The Wall Street Journal pointed out: "Oil prices continue to climb the difficult situation much more than just a temporary supply and demand shocks, stir the energy field is Western consumer and supplier of oil transfer between the lasting power. Original interdependence is breaking new order is taking shape, the United States and its allies and other major energy consumers, is moving from superiority to inferiority. "
The face of the energy market has been and will continue to revolutionary changes, the world's second largest energy consumer, China urgently needs to consider what the energy should have a strategy to achieve national energy security.
Observed pattern of world energy situation and trends, we can not easily. First of all, in the next several years, about 30-50 million people will gradually into the industrialization and modernization. At present, the developed economies of the total population of about 10 million of these economies since the industrial revolution in 23 years time have realized the industrialization and modernization. Emerging economies and developing economies of the total population of about 5.6 billion, of which Brazil, Russia, India and China as the representative of the emerging economies of the total population and the Middle East countries, nearly 3.0 billion total population. These economies will focus in the next two or three years into the ranks of industrialization and modernization of economies. Strong demand will bring unprecedented pressure on world energy markets.
Second, the disaster caused by climate change, the consequences must be a requirement of human low-carbon energy revolution, in order to control global warming within 2 degrees Celsius. Rules of a low carbon economy will gradually become the new energy rules, economic rules, meaning that any development of a country or region can not jeopardize the development of other countries and regions the premise for the development of not only contemporary but also on the history and future responsible. Energy consumers must learn to improve energy efficiency, reduce emissions, reduce fossil energy consumption, reduce reliance on energy-exporting countries.
China's energy strategy, need to put the world order and the reconstruction and the rise of China's two great historical events to observe. As China's large population, energy consumption on a large, growing proportion of the world total. If the future, China's per capita energy consumption per capita reached the level of the world, then the total energy consumption in China accounted for the proportion of the world's total will be 15%% from 2005 to 2030 1 / 5 of the above, first over the EU-25, soon there will be more than the United States. In 2008, China has become the second largest after the United States energy consumer.
New energy Not yet in the 20 years to replace traditional fossil fuels. Total, forecast the future energy mix, the oil in 2030 is still the main energy sources, natural gas, coal and other energy tripod, the proportion of energy from fossil fuels accounted for 81% in 2006% to 75%. Exxon? Mobil Corporation forecasts that by 2030, natural gas, coal and nuclear energy are the major sources of energy; EU natural gas, coal, nuclear and renewable energy sources a large proportion of all kinds; coal remains China's primary energy .
China's coal-rich, coal present and future (until 2050 or later) is still China's main energy sources, energy increment still to rely on coal to solve. By 2050, coal can be reduced to 50% although 60%%% (currently 70%%), but the total will increase. The next few decades, China's crude oil production level is difficult to have much further improvement can only be maintained at approximately about 200 million tons production. According to several organizations predicted that by 2050, China's oil demand will reach 760 million tons or so.
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