Domestic port market concern about rising inventories of fish meal in aquacultur
Since April, due to repeated fluctuations in temperature and low temperature the endless rain, so had to be gradually after the start of the Ching Ming Fisheries Cultivation Time has been delayed further, which causes fish feed business Fish Powder delayed the procurement cycle, so the season in aquatic feed consumption situation has not fully started, in April the market performance of China's demand for fish meal significantly lighter than in March, the port continued to increase stocks of fish meal, some feel the pressure on small-scale traders in the future shipments will increase, the recent transaction prices in a weak state of operation. The larger companies now positions the basic "do anything" and wait for May after the arrival of the procurement cycle. Specific JCI as follows:
First, the recent run low port shipments, inventories continued to rise in the domestic fish meal
Into the end of April, the domestic aquaculture has not fully started, fish meal fish feed businesses will remain in the doldrums of procurement, so the recent shipments of all major ports is still low for fish meal. According to JCI port information, the volume of domestic main ports sunrise in 1000? 13,000 tons, monthly shipments of almost halved compared with March; despite the continued low volume meal, but the arrival is increasing, causing the current China's fish meal pattern of rising inventory levels. According to JCI is understood that the main port of domestic stocks 14.5 million tons of fish meal, the chain increased by 16.9% year on year increase of 31.8%.
Second, traders increased sales mentality differences, weak domestic fish meal sold to run
Meal deal in the domestic market continued to perform light of the circumstances, the sales mentality of traders more obvious differences from the previous month, sold relatively weak. According to JCI understand the wishes of our country stronger shipments of fishmeal traders sold in the ordinary level of 13,700? 13,800 yuan / ton (the lowest transaction price in the South Port of 13,500 yuan / ton), super steam fish meal sold in the 14200? 14,500 yuan / tons (the lowest bid of the South Port of 14,000 yuan / ton). However, in recent phase of our positions in large part of fishmeal fish meal still remain very optimistic and price strategy, its super strong steam fish meal reference offer in the 15,000 yuan / ton.
Third, a large number of cut shrimp Roche, the domestic aquaculture season prevented further recovery
Information according to JCI, this year due to bad weather, and less than ideal quality of shrimp broodstock, fry shrimp in Jiangsu and Zhejiang caused substantial decrease in production patterns, the local Eighty percent of the farm have ceased, Macrobrachium shrimp prices have risen to a high of nearly 15 years, 400 yuan / 10 000, so this year in Jiangsu and Zhejiang region will be substantially cut shrimp, fish meal for the consumer market is no doubt that there are some blow. However, market sources reflect the existence of some farmers to switch Roche raised shrimp Penaeus vannamei phenomenon, but taking into account the Roche shrimp and white shrimp culture environment of the big gap between the requirements, whether a large number of white shrimp culture to enhance the amount remains to be seen. As the fish feed consumption (especially shrimp feed) is the second and third quarter of fishmeal consumer market, "main force" and therefore, the current situation and developments in aquaculture is the focus of the industry.
General, fish feed businesses in the procurement cycle has not yet started the case, the short-term weakness of domestic fish meal pattern difficult to change. However, by the end of April to the start of the temperature in most areas there is a clear pick-up, if weather conditions continue to improve, then in mid-May on China's aquaculture is expected to fully launch this or that promote the consumption of fish meal rise. Some industry analysts believe that in mid-May if the domestic demand for fish feed on fish meal significantly improved, while fish meal prices are expected to re-strengthened. JCI expects demand in the promotion of aquaculture feed, 5 / June domestic meal consumption is expected to better than in April, but its ability to boost the price back to a high fish meal, still regards China, Peru, the market supply and demand for fish meal dynamic equilibrium relationship.
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