Analysis Of The 2010 Battery Industry Forecasts And Trend Factors
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2010 economic policy in stimulating economic revitalization programs and joint action, domestic battery demand will be further improved, the world economic recovery also led to foreign cells Qiwen demand continues to rise, China’s battery industry in 2010 there will be more difficult to overcome good growth.
1,2010 batteries in the domestic market demand will rise slightly
Batteries are widely used in Car , Motorcycle , Electric bicycles, ships, trucks, rail vehicles, UPS UPS , Miner’s lamp, medical equipment, electric Toy , Remote controls, computers, mobile phones, cameras, MP3, radio, emergency lights, alarms, lights and other electrical appliances in China. In the fuel tax reform, reduction in oil prices, cars to the countryside and the introduction of the revitalization plan and other policies to promote the auto consumption, China’s auto industry will continue to grow. According to the Automobile Association predicted that by 2010 China’s auto output will reach 15 million, about 10% growth this year, car battery market will rise, while Other Applications will not be lower than 2009 levels, we estimate that the battery needs of the domestic market in 2010 slightly.
2,2010 battery demand in the international market rebound, it is estimated to reach the basic level of exports in 2008, China’s export performance will be improved batteries.
2009 the second half of the international battery market has been gradually recovering, the recovery by 2010 the world economy will further rise, demand will gradually enlarge the international battery, estimated the level of China’s exports up in 2008.
3, the positive impact of the battery industry factors
(1) included in the battery industry, “Light Industry Adjustment and Development Plan”
“Planning” on the adjustment of industrial structure and development of the battery industry to focus on, proposed the establishment of technological innovation in public service platform, the establishment of National Engineering Research Center for the battery, the battery industry to promote mercury-free button focus alkaline manganese battery technology, general manganese Cell-free mercury, lead, no cadmium, lithium ion batteries replaced nickel-cadmium batteries, button alkaline manganese batteries containing mercury out of 9 billion and backward production measures.
(2) the domestic economy to gradually pick up, demand driven battery
National Bureau of Statistics report showed economic operation, China 2009 GDP up 8.7%, showing the steady rise of the trend is expected to gross domestic product in 2010 grew 9.5%. Domestic economic growth will drive demand for domestic battery.
(3) stabilizing the world economy, the recovery of the international market is conducive to export expansion battery
The world’s major economic powers to implement policies to stimulate the economy in 2010, the United States and Europe appears positive GDP growth. International market demand will gradually rise, and expand exports batteries.
4, the negative impact of the battery industry factors
Recent years, China’s battery industry developed quickly, but the battery industry in China still faces many unfavorable factors, Europe, the United States and Africa to increase trade barriers and technical standards constantly rising, a lack of core technology and high-end products, lack of industry standards, Environmental protection Increased investment and other problems are seriously hindering the development of China’s battery industry.
(1) effect of export tax rebate policy adjustment is not obvious
2008 11 months, the recovery of mercury-free button cell batteries and mercury-free alkaline manganese batteries containing the export tax rebate on exports has been facilitated by rapid decline, but 2009 data point of view the effect is not obvious.
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