Sugar long bull pattern of short-term shock still wary – sugar, sugar – Food Ind
Recent tight fundamentals in the domestic and international market factors that together the two unilateral increases under the domestic futures Sugar Air Gaps consecutive rolling boom market, until last weekend began to fall, stock prices in Guangxi has reached 4100 yuan or so. Looking forward, I believe that the trend of following the bulls, but also had to beware of the risks of short-term shocks to avoid Queer.
Round trays Quotes from the disk can be felt more significantly affected by the external disk is obvious, there followed a long absence of the external disk away. From inside and outside the plate before the current round of market gains of view, outside the disk within the disk relative price of lag, it has been more serious, long-term advantages of foreign disk in the accumulation effect. So this long as a domestic subject matter and the basis for speculation is plausible. However be noted that, since one of the reasons is the rising speculation rose outside the disk, then the concern should be sure to rally outside the site's sustainability and future-turn signal, put out the fire once the outer disk, the current round of market is likely to end synchronization .
To throw storage reservoir affect the overall situation, the State Reserve still cautious. Xining sugar market was caused widespread concern from the Reserve is still sugar. As the price of sugar rose outer disk may be out of long-term concerns about supply and demand situation, the State decided not to throw at the reservoir, be profitable. And local reserves are in batches of sugar out of database, the first batch of 150,000 tons is said to usher in a lot of buyers, the first ground reservoir pressure seems to have been in the hot digestion in the invisible 8 months, the current remaining for the library to reserve no more than ten tons of the crop season would be a little tight balance between supply and demand patterns of the impact of too much material. Taking into account the preparation of sugar season was at this time, in August the movement of spot prices in the current rally may be based on the strong shock, the focus is still expected to slow slightly next move up, or at least expected to safeguard stability. However, the State put the issue reserve, or serious treatment is better, after all, the amount of storage is still a great country, and the State Reserve also is capable of changing the current sugar market supply and demand balance, reverse the circulation market, tight supply and demand pattern. If the spot sugar prices go too high, do not rule out the possibility of national release reservoir.
Aftermarket Forecast: tight supply and demand of the crop season, as well as stock sales areas is still weak spot prices supported by strong momentum, traders in the rally in the Tunhuo impulse, and the crop season at the end of the sugar shortage is a potential strategy bullish factor. However, the current contract with the spot month futures is far too much price difference will undoubtedly put pressure on prices last week, Zheng sugar futures in May contract spot price difference with the production area up to nearly 1,000 yuan at one time, in producing only 4,000 yuan cash offer in his early futures contract in May under the impact of five thousand mark but once. This set of insurance funds for the sugar provides the convenience, the four furniture companies with stock background, mostly side clearance position can prove this point. That is more than the current maximum benefit is still supply and demand fundamentals, while the biggest negative is the unreasonable structure of the far-month premium. Therefore, spot prices in the maintenance of long-term bull market to judge the premise, especially on short-term futures shock, it may continue to hold long, but does not recommend blindly chase, especially the position of funds into the system area of Zhejiang, the cash level of funding more space background seems to indicate short-term disk will not be too smooth. View recent volatility Zheng sugar futures increased significantly, it is recommended to stay awake half the remaining half drunk, in the long trend is to be watchful eye on the short-term shocks. After all, this wave of market go hurry, this time to work and rest look better, the investment should be able to endure loneliness, others urge you to be calm when.
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